World Cup 2026 bracket

The current playoff tree uses the live group tables, FIFA third-place assignment rules, and the same match model that powers the forecast.

Predicted championArgentina24% cup chance · updated Jun 26, 4:37 AM

Round of 32

#73Jun 28 · 3:00 PM ET

South AfricaGroup A23%

CanadaGroup B77%

#74Jun 28 · 4:30 PM ET

GermanyGroup E78%

ParaguayGroup D22%

#75Jun 29 · 9:00 PM ET

NetherlandsGroup F59%

MoroccoGroup C41%

#76Jun 29 · 1:00 PM ET

BrazilGroup C62%

JapanGroup F38%

#77Jun 30 · 5:00 PM ET

FranceGroup I86%

SwedenGroup F14%

#78Jun 30 · 1:00 PM ET

Côte d'IvoireGroup E32%

NorwayGroup I68%

#79Jun 30 · 9:00 PM ET

MexicoGroup A73%

ScotlandGroup C27%

#80Jul 1 · 12:00 PM ET

EnglandGroup L67%

EcuadorGroup E33%

#81Jul 1 · 8:00 PM ET

USAGroup D83%

Bosnia and HerzegovinaGroup B17%

#82Jul 2 · 4:00 PM ET

EgyptGroup G42%

Korea RepublicGroup A58%

#83Jul 3 · 7:00 PM ET

PortugalGroup K93%

GhanaGroup L7%

#84Jul 3 · 3:00 PM ET

SpainGroup H81%

AustriaGroup J19%

#85Jul 3 · 11:00 PM ET

SwitzerlandGroup B60%

AlgeriaGroup J40%

#86Jul 4 · 6:00 PM ET

ArgentinaGroup J81%

UruguayGroup H19%

#87Jul 4 · 9:30 PM ET

ColombiaGroup K65%

CroatiaGroup L35%

#88Jul 4 · 2:00 PM ET

AustraliaGroup D47%

IR IranGroup G53%

Round Of 16

#89Jul 4 · 5:00 PM ET

GermanyGroup E38%

FranceGroup I62%

#90Jul 5 · 1:00 PM ET

CanadaGroup B28%

NetherlandsGroup F72%

#91Jul 5 · 4:00 PM ET

BrazilGroup C70%

NorwayGroup I30%

#92Jul 5 · 8:00 PM ET

MexicoGroup A36%

EnglandGroup L64%

#93Jul 6 · 3:00 PM ET

PortugalGroup K36%

SpainGroup H64%

#94Jul 6 · 8:00 PM ET

USAGroup D59%

Korea RepublicGroup A41%

#95Jul 7 · 12:00 PM ET

ArgentinaGroup J84%

IR IranGroup G16%

#96Jul 7 · 4:00 PM ET

SwitzerlandGroup B36%

ColombiaGroup K64%

Quarterfinal

#97Jul 9 · 4:00 PM ET

FranceGroup I60%

NetherlandsGroup F40%

#98Jul 10 · 3:00 PM ET

SpainGroup H81%

USAGroup D19%

#99Jul 11 · 5:00 PM ET

BrazilGroup C54%

EnglandGroup L46%

#100Jul 11 · 9:00 PM ET

ArgentinaGroup J67%

ColombiaGroup K33%

Semifinal

#101Jul 14 · 3:00 PM ET

FranceGroup I43%

SpainGroup H57%

#102Jul 15 · 3:00 PM ET

BrazilGroup C39%

ArgentinaGroup J61%

Final

#104Jul 19 · 3:00 PM ET

SpainGroup H48%

ArgentinaGroup J52%

Dates and kickoff times shown in ET from FIFA's published match schedule. Probabilities show the model edge to advance from that matchup.