Prediction results
How the model's predictions performed across the tournament.
Group-stage accuracy61.1%44/72 correct
Exact scores8.3%6/72 exact
Matches scored72Group-stage matches
Knockout predictions
Knockout accuracy81.3%26/32 correct
Exact scores9.4%3/32 exact
Matches scored32Knockout matches
| Match | Prediction | Result | Predicted score |
|---|---|---|---|
| #104 · FinalJul 19, 3:00 PM EDTSpain vs Argentina | RightSpainSpain 51.0% · Argentina 49.0% | 1-0Spain advanced | 1-113.0% chance |
| #103 · Third PlaceJul 18, 5:00 PM EDTFrance vs England | WrongFranceFrance 57.1% · England 42.9% | 4-6England advanced | 1-112.9% chance |
| #102 · SemifinalJul 15, 3:00 PM EDTEngland vs Argentina | RightArgentinaEngland 36.0% · Argentina 64.0% | 1-2Argentina advanced | 1-112.5% chance |
| #101 · SemifinalJul 14, 3:00 PM EDTFrance vs Spain | RightSpainFrance 44.0% · Spain 56.0% | 0-2Spain advanced | 1-112.9% chance |
| #100 · QuarterfinalJul 11, 9:00 PM EDTArgentina vs Switzerland | RightArgentinaArgentina 77.1% · Switzerland 22.9% | 3-1Argentina advanced | 1-013.0% chance |
| #99 · QuarterfinalJul 11, 5:00 PM EDTNorway vs England | RightEnglandNorway 32.6% · England 67.4% | 1-2England advanced | 0-112.5% chance |
| #98 · QuarterfinalJul 10, 3:00 PM EDTSpain vs Belgium | RightSpainSpain 70.8% · Belgium 29.2% | 2-1Spain advanced | 1-012.7% chance |
| #97 · QuarterfinalJul 9, 4:00 PM EDTFrance vs Morocco | RightFranceFrance 68.6% · Morocco 31.4% | 2-0France advanced | 1-012.6% chance |
| #96 · Round of 16Jul 7, 4:00 PM EDTSwitzerland vs Colombia | WrongColombiaSwitzerland 37.7% · Colombia 62.3% | 0-0Switzerland advanced | 1-112.6% chance |
| #95 · Round of 16Jul 7, 12:00 PM EDTArgentina vs Egypt | RightArgentinaArgentina 90.6% · Egypt 9.4% | 3-2Argentina advanced | 2-014.0% chance |
| #94 · Round of 16Jul 6, 8:00 PM EDTUSA vs Belgium | RightBelgiumUSA 37.3% · Belgium 62.7% | 1-4Belgium advanced | 1-112.6% chance |
| #93 · Round of 16Jul 6, 3:00 PM EDTPortugal vs Spain | RightSpainPortugal 34.9% · Spain 65.1% | 0-1Spain advanced | 1-112.4% chance |
| #92 · Round of 16Jul 5, 8:00 PM EDTMexico vs England | RightEnglandMexico 36.9% · England 63.1% | 2-3England advanced | 1-112.5% chance |
| #91 · Round of 16Jul 5, 4:00 PM EDTBrazil vs Norway | WrongBrazilBrazil 71.8% · Norway 28.2% | 1-2Norway advanced | 1-012.8% chance |
| #90 · Round of 16Jul 4, 5:00 PM EDTParaguay vs France | RightFranceParaguay 13.3% · France 86.7% | 0-1France advanced | 0-213.4% chance |
| #89 · Round of 16Jul 4, 1:00 PM EDTCanada vs Morocco | RightMoroccoCanada 36.4% · Morocco 63.6% | 0-3Morocco advanced | 1-112.5% chance |
| #88 · Round of 32Jul 3, 9:30 PM EDTColombia vs Ghana | RightColombiaColombia 92.7% · Ghana 7.3% | 1-0Colombia advanced | 2-014.2% chance |
| #87 · Round of 32Jul 3, 6:00 PM EDTArgentina vs Cabo Verde | RightArgentinaArgentina 97.2% · Cabo Verde 2.8% | 3-2Argentina advanced | 3-014.0% chance |
| #86 · Round of 32Jul 3, 2:00 PM EDTAustralia vs Egypt | WrongAustraliaAustralia 60.8% · Egypt 39.2% | 1-1Egypt advanced | 1-112.7% chance |
| #85 · Round of 32Jul 2, 11:00 PM EDTSwitzerland vs Algeria | RightSwitzerlandSwitzerland 59.5% · Algeria 40.5% | 2-0Switzerland advanced | 1-112.8% chance |
| #84 · Round of 32Jul 2, 7:00 PM EDTPortugal vs Croatia | RightPortugalPortugal 65.0% · Croatia 35.0% | 2-1Portugal advanced | 1-112.4% chance |
| #83 · Round of 32Jul 2, 3:00 PM EDTSpain vs Austria | RightSpainSpain 81.3% · Austria 18.7% | 3-0Spain advanced | 1-013.0% chance |
| #82 · Round of 32Jul 1, 8:00 PM EDTUSA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina | RightUSAUSA 83.0% · Bosnia and Herzegovina 17.0% | 2-0USA advanced | 1-012.9% chance |
| #81 · Round of 32Jul 1, 4:00 PM EDTBelgium vs Senegal | RightBelgiumBelgium 68.0% · Senegal 32.0% | 3-2Belgium advanced | 1-012.5% chance |
| #80 · Round of 32Jul 1, 12:00 PM EDTEngland vs Congo DR | RightEnglandEngland 90.0% · Congo DR 10.0% | 2-1England advanced | 2-014.0% chance |
| #79 · Round of 32Jun 30, 9:00 PM EDTMexico vs Ecuador | RightMexicoMexico 53.2% · Ecuador 46.8% | 2-0Mexico advanced | 1-112.9% chance |
| #78 · Round of 32Jun 30, 5:00 PM EDTFrance vs Sweden | RightFranceFrance 87.3% · Sweden 12.7% | 3-0France advanced | 2-013.5% chance |
| #77 · Round of 32Jun 30, 1:00 PM EDTCôte d'Ivoire vs Norway | RightNorwayCôte d'Ivoire 34.2% · Norway 65.8% | 1-2Norway advanced | 0-112.4% chance |
| #76 · Round of 32Jun 29, 4:30 PM EDTGermany vs Paraguay | WrongGermanyGermany 78.3% · Paraguay 21.7% | 1-1Paraguay advanced | 1-013.0% chance |
| #75 · Round of 32Jun 29, 9:00 PM EDTNetherlands vs Morocco | WrongNetherlandsNetherlands 59.0% · Morocco 41.0% | 1-1Morocco advanced | 1-112.8% chance |
| #74 · Round of 32Jun 29, 1:00 PM EDTBrazil vs Japan | RightBrazilBrazil 62.2% · Japan 37.8% | 2-1Brazil advanced | 1-112.6% chance |
| #73 · Round of 32Jun 28, 3:00 PM EDTSouth Africa vs Canada | RightCanadaSouth Africa 23.4% · Canada 76.6% | 0-1Canada advanced | 0-113.0% chance |
Group-stage predictions
| Match | Prediction | Result | Predicted score |
|---|---|---|---|
| RightArgentina84.4% | 1-3Argentina | 0-214.0% chance | |
| WrongAustria39.2% | 3-3Draw | 1-112.9% chance | |
| WrongUzbekistan45.7% | 3-1Congo DR | 1-112.6% chance | |
| WrongPortugal36.7% | 0-0Draw | 1-113.0% chance | |
| RightCroatia69.8% | 2-1Croatia | 2-013.3% chance | |
| RightEngland71.6% | 0-2England | 0-213.6% chance | |
| RightBelgium69.1% | 1-5Belgium | 0-213.2% chance | |
| WrongIR Iran47.5% | 1-1Draw | 1-112.5% chance | |
| RightSpain62.4% | 0-1Spain | 0-113.0% chance | |
| WrongSaudi Arabia42.6% | 0-0Draw | 1-112.8% chance | |
| RightSenegal54.8% | 5-0Senegal | 1-012.8% chance | |
| RightFrance54.4% | 1-4France | 0-112.8% chance | |
| WrongAustralia43.8% | 0-0Draw | 1-112.7% chance | |
| WrongUSA43.3% | 3-2Türkiye | 1-112.8% chance | |
| RightNetherlands73.0% | 1-3Netherlands | 0-213.7% chance | |
| WrongJapan60.4% | 1-1Draw | 1-013.0% chance | |
| WrongGermany48.8% | 2-1Ecuador | 0-112.4% chance | |
| RightCôte d'Ivoire65.0% | 0-2Côte d'Ivoire | 0-112.9% chance | |
| WrongKorea Republic59.2% | 1-0South Africa | 0-113.0% chance | |
| RightMexico53.9% | 0-3Mexico | 0-112.8% chance | |
| RightMorocco73.2% | 4-2Morocco | 2-013.7% chance | |
| RightBrazil67.8% | 0-3Brazil | 0-213.0% chance | |
| RightBosnia and Herzegovina41.3% | 3-1Bosnia and Herzegovina | 1-112.9% chance | |
| RightSwitzerland42.4% | 2-1Switzerland | 1-112.8% chance | |
| RightColombia75.5% | 1-0Colombia | 2-014.0% chance | |
| RightCroatia58.0% | 0-1Croatia | 0-113.0% chance | |
| WrongEngland82.2% | 0-0Draw | 2-014.1% chance | |
| RightPortugal65.1% | 5-0Portugal | 1-012.9% chance | |
| RightAlgeria55.4% | 1-2Algeria | 0-112.9% chance | |
| RightNorway44.5% | 3-2Norway | 1-112.7% chance | |
| RightFrance80.1% | 3-0France | 2-014.2% chance | |
| RightArgentina63.4% | 2-0Argentina | 1-013.0% chance | |
| RightEgypt44.3% | 1-3Egypt | 1-112.7% chance | |
| WrongUruguay70.8% | 2-2Draw | 2-013.5% chance | |
| WrongBelgium47.3% | 0-0Draw | 1-112.5% chance | |
| RightSpain84.6% | 4-0Spain | 2-014.0% chance | |
| RightJapan68.6% | 0-4Japan | 0-213.1% chance | |
| WrongEcuador77.9% | 0-0Draw | 2-014.1% chance | |
| RightGermany60.6% | 2-1Germany | 1-013.0% chance | |
| RightNetherlands60.4% | 5-1Netherlands | 1-013.0% chance | |
| WrongTürkiye44.7% | 0-1Paraguay | 1-112.7% chance | |
| RightBrazil82.4% | 3-0Brazil | 2-014.1% chance | |
| RightMorocco54.4% | 0-1Morocco | 0-112.8% chance | |
| RightUSA38.0% | 2-0USA | 1-113.0% chance | |
| RightMexico43.3% | 1-0Mexico | 1-112.8% chance | |
| RightCanada67.1% | 6-0Canada | 2-012.9% chance | |
| RightSwitzerland69.4% | 4-1Switzerland | 2-013.3% chance | |
| WrongCzechia51.3% | 1-1Draw | 1-012.6% chance | |
| RightColombia64.4% | 1-3Colombia | 0-113.0% chance | |
| WrongPanama51.8% | 1-0Ghana | 0-112.7% chance | |
| RightEngland48.1% | 4-2England | 1-112.4% chance | |
| WrongPortugal76.4% | 1-1Draw | 2-014.0% chance | |
| RightAustria57.9% | 3-1Austria | 1-013.0% chance | |
| RightArgentina65.9% | 3-0Argentina | 1-012.9% chance | |
| RightNorway61.5% | 1-4Norway | 0-113.0% chance | |
| RightFrance61.7% | 3-1France | 1-013.0% chance | |
| WrongIR Iran58.2% | 2-2Draw | 1-013.0% chance | |
| WrongUruguay65.0% | 1-1Draw | 0-112.9% chance | |
| WrongBelgium61.3% | 1-1Draw | 1-013.0% chance | |
| WrongSpain90.2% | 0-0Draw | 3-014.1% chance | |
| RightSweden41.6% | 5-1Sweden | 1-112.9% chance | |
| WrongEcuador52.3% | 1-0Côte d'Ivoire | 0-112.7% chance | |
| WrongNetherlands38.7% | 2-2Draw | 1-112.9% chance | |
| RightGermany85.3% | 7-1Germany | 2-013.9% chance | |
| WrongTürkiye37.9% | 2-0Australia | 1-113.0% chance | |
| RightScotland53.4% | 0-1Scotland | 0-112.8% chance | |
| WrongBrazil49.4% | 1-1Draw | 1-012.4% chance | |
| WrongSwitzerland75.0% | 1-1Draw | 0-213.9% chance | |
| RightUSA44.7% | 4-1USA | 1-112.7% chance | |
| WrongCanada64.1% | 1-1Draw | 1-013.0% chance | |
| RightKorea Republic43.4% | 2-1Korea Republic | 1-112.8% chance | |
| RightMexico66.3% | 2-0Mexico | 1-012.9% chance |